- Discounted Cash Flow Techniques
- Management converts strategic goals into investment proposals
- financial evaluation of investment proposals = capital budgeting
- money is required today to achieve a future benefit
- Do the future benefits outweigh the risks?
- Is the proposed investment the most cost effective way to achieve the strategic goals?
- Stock and Bond valuation
- equipment purchases (and any other purchasing decisions, including investing in an MBA!)
- discounted cash flow forms the backbone of modern finance
- Steps for evaluating any investment opportunity
- estimate future cash flows
- calculate a figure of merit for the investment
- compare the figure of merit to an acceptance criterion
- figure of merit: a number which encapsulates an investment's worth
Course work and notes from E. B. Holmes at the University of Edinburgh Business School (MBA, 2011-2012)
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Analysis for Financial Management (R. Higgins) Chapter 7 Summary
Analysis for Financial Management (R. Higgins) Chapter 6 Summary
- The Financing Decision
- company's choice of the proper financing instruments
- how much external capital is required?
- forecasting
- budgeting
- estimate sales growth, need for new assets, internal capital available
- careful consideration of capital markets
ING Direct USA (IMD-3-1845)
- ING Groep-> ING Direct
- Amsterdam headquarters
- 2006 Flat yield curve
- margin pressure
- interest rate offered by competitors higher (Citi, HSBC, BOA)
- difficult to maintain entrepreneurial climate
- 1995, ING Group decided to look outside of the Netherlands
Monday, November 7, 2011
Analysis for Financial Management (R. Higgins) Chapter 2 Summary
- Chapter 2: Evaluating Financial Performance
- ROE= net income/shareholder's equity. Three determinants:
- Net Income/Sales * Sales/Assets * Assets/Shareholders' equity. Same as below:
- Profit Margin * Asset turnover * Financial Leverage
Analysis for Financial Management (R. Higgins) Chapter 1 Summary
- Analysis for Financial Management (Introduction)
- Author Robert C. Higgins, published 2009
- Part One of the Book (Chapters 1 and 2)
- devoted to the management of existing resources
- financial statements
- ratio analysis
- company's operating activities
- company's financial performance
- financial performance linked to operating strategy
- Parts Two through Four
- acquisition and management of new resources
- Chapter 1 Summary:
- accounting is a scorecard for business
- finance interprets accounting numbers for performance assessment and future planning
- within a company financial analysis is crucial
- investors, creditors and regulators also rely on financial analysis
- cash flow is a confusing notion in finance
- it is difficult to define and measure profits
- profitability alone doesn't guarantee a business' future
- operations and finance are crucially linked
- the way that a company chooses to finance its assets sets the stage for what types of investments it is able to make in the future
- Assets=Liabilities+Shareholder's Equity
- list assets and liabilities on B/S in order of decreasing liquidity
- liquidity: speed with which an asset can be converted to cash
- current liability or asset: expected to be converted to cash within one year
- long term: greater that one year
- net income = earnings = profits
- Income statements divided into operating and non-operating segments
- accrual principle of accounting: revenue recognized when work is complete and a reasonable assurance that payment is on the way
- This can lead to a lag-time between when revenue is recognized and when cash actually flows into a business
- "depreciation allocates past expenditures to future time periods to match revenues and expenses" p13 top
- companies typically keep two sets of records
- records for tax purposes
- records for managing the company and reporting progress to shareholders
- constructing source and use statements:
- place two balance sheets for different dates side by side. Note changes in accounts over the period
- group changes into cash generating and cash consuming
- companies source cash by:
- reducing an asset- eg- selling used equipment
- increasing a liability- eg- bank loan
- companies use cash by:
- increasing asset- production of inventory
- reducing a liability- paying off a bank loan
- leveraged recapitalization :
- cash flow statement expands on the source and use statement
- add back depreciation and amortization to net income
- add changes in current assets and liabilities ("noncash charges")
- Net Cash flow = net income + noncash items = "cash earnings"
- Operating Cash flow = Net Cash flow +/- changes in current assets and liabilities
- Free Cash flow = OCF-CAPEX (approximately)
- Discounted Cash flow = money today with the same value as a future stream of cash receipts
- Value Problem: Market vs. Book
- financial statements are transactions based
- objective valuations of many current assets do not exist
- the value of intangible assets becomes a factor when a company is bought for more than its book value
Thursday, November 3, 2011
Strategic Management (Case Group)
- What aspects of Apple's strategy can you identify?
- continuous innovation: ipod, iphone, itunes
- Mac as the core product
- Apple TV
- "Think Different"
- Embodies Apple
- Customer Experience
- Analyze the industrial considerations underpinning Apple's strategy.
- Strategic advantage derrived by improving the PC-> Mac
- Creation of a premium prand
- Manufacturing capability, supply chain capability
- Chinese and Taiwanese suppliers
- Apple contains the product in a package
- PC Market structure- Lenovo puchased IBM - fewer competitiors
- Substitutes for PCs, Ipad, portable devices
- Global financial crisis- external environment
- Final Cut Pro, Life: Opened up OS so that developers could use their ecosystem.
- What industry determinants have Apple been able to shape?
- Vertical integration
- strong supplier relationships
- cross over collaboration and partnerships
- What implications does Job's passing have for Apple's strategy?
- Dynamic character
- Tim Cook leads to a Charisma vacuum
- PC sector dependency-> move from one sector to another such as Apple TV
- shift to service
- educate customers to like the Apple brand
- Apple persuades customers to embrace the brand
- Steve Job's core strategy was product based. Would they be able to sustain
- What scenarios exist for Apple?
- What recommendations would you give, as a strategic consultant to the Board of Directors of Apple for the long term sustainability of their current market leadership?
Strategic Management (Brad Mackay)
- Peer review: Part of the class grade
- Book is optional, but useful for the exam
- Open Exam, but no
- Exam:
- Role Play: What would you do in a given situation
- Presentation
- Guest Speaker, Rod Woodward: Friday 25th
- Business in society
- Strategy in multi-business firm
- Disruptive Strategy
- Turn-around strategy
- Question: Just large corporates, no small business
- Peer Review Grading
- Google Case
- What is Strategy?
- Tactics vs. Strategy
- Michael Porter's Generic Strategies
- compete on cost
- differentiated
- From the outside pattern of decisions
- implies outsider point of view
- implies consistency (not all businesses have this)
- academia such as economists
- Big Picture
- not detail oriented
- Stabilizing force for organizations
- implies value similarities
- Case of Japanese companies
- What relationship must exist between strategy and culture
- What do you think strategy is?
- History and Background
- Strategos- ancient Athenian position 508 BC
- Statos- military formation
- Von Clauswitz 1976
- von Newman and Morgenstern 1944
- Glueck 1980
- "discursive structure"- complicated way to say "communication"
- "Aim your actions towards your purpose "
- unification of employee efforts
- create an identity, hew out a place in the marketplace
- clear statement required
- Pixar, Ikea
- Objectives versus vision. SMART objective creation
- Specific
- Measurable
- Achieveable
- Relevant
- Time-bound
- UEBS vision
- Mission Statement- "Why we exist"
- indicative- what we are
- declarative- we declare that this is what we will do
- Four C's of strategy:
- Culture
- Content
- Context
- Cognition
- Strategic Fit
- Group Discussion Questions
- What aspects of Google's strategy can you identify
- What is their purpose?
- What is their vision and how important is this to their strategy?
- What is their mission?
- Group 10: Room 18
- Apple Case Discussion (from 2pm)
- Porter Five Force Model- based on assumption of Perfect Competition
- Barriers preventing others from entering a business
- Potential of Substitutes
- Supplier power- cost of inputs
- Buyer power
- Michael Porter
- Business Level External Analysis
- Porter's balance of forces is similar to a force balance in Physics
- Iphone was a disruptive and innovative device
- Blue Ocean Strategy
- Cirque Desole
- Ansoff 2X2 Matrix
- Market Penetration/Consolidation
- Product Development
- Market Development
- Diversification
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